This weekend, we’ve got a PPV card in Atlanta. DraftKings has some solid contests for us to win a great deal of money from this week and that I can not wait to chase those big prizes. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $30k goes to 1st place with a total of $150k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first place cost and $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 admissions that match. I will attempt to get my 2nd and 3rd seats this week if possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers therefore be cautious chasing those overly hard. I’ll probably stick to the very best GPP this week and toss 100 or so entries at that $30k prize, and then I will probably take a couple shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs throughout the week to receive a good quantity of drama into money games.
With that said, let’s get into a couple plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of this week — STACK — Max Holloway $9,100 and Dustin Poirier $7,100
This was the first thing I did when salaries were published. I put these two fighters in my cash lineup and I started building from there. I anticipate this to be among the greatest fights ever and that I think we get ~200 complete DK points from this fight, and the guaranteed win. I am ok with taking the loss when I can assure myself over 100 issues with the stack, but I think 150 is a secure projection for this fight and if we can lock up 3 additional wins we ought to win the majority of our cash games. Like I always saywe do not need 6 wins for money games so there’s really no need to chase it. Just lock in a secure lineup that you believe will score over 400 total points and you ought to acquire more H2Hs than you lose.
GPP drama of the week — Nikita Krylov — $8,200
Krylov is my GPP drama of the week since he is the definition of boom or bust. He loses or scores more than 100 DK points. That’s what we want in GPPs. This isn’t a sure choice in him winning it is only a shot at his ceiling which is what we search for in the huge GPPs where we’re trying to win the best $30k prize. Krylov has completed all 24 of his wins and he’s just seen the 3rd round once in his profession. This is a great struggle to target on either side, but I am taking Krylov to get the win and I will have a good amount of exposure to this weekend.
Underdog play of the week — Dustin Poirier — $7,100
I needed to place Poirier here. I adore his floor and I believe he is a live underdog. However, IF he wins, he will 100% end up about the 1st place lineup in his $7.1k price-tag. He is likely to score over 100 DK points if he is able to find a victory here and that’s what we are pursuing in GPPs. Even in the event that you believe Max is going to dominate Poirier that I believe that you ought to possess at least 1 hedge lineup using Poirier, which is an all-in fight for me. Every lineup I build will begin with Dustin or Max and I’ll go on from there. Load up on this fight and make sure you get some Poirier exposure.
Fade of this week — Boston Salmon ($8,600)
It was hard to select a fade of the week this week because I believe that you can make an argument for rostering everyone. I wanted to choose a popular though and I feel the favored with one of the lower ceilings is Salmon. I am picking him to win but he won’t be heading for any takedowns and if he does not get a finish he likely does not pay off his $8.6k price . I want at least 10x (86-points) when I’m rostering someone and I don’t see him unless he gets a knockout. Taha is tough so that I don’t see the knockout occurring. I think Salmon does make a unanimous decision win here but it likely scores in the 70’s which will not win us the large $30k. That’s why he’s my fade of the week.
Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle about the card and give my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link too. I’m 66-41 to get +220.23u (+$22,023) because May 19th on Premium Plays)
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